what explains FX growth since the 2007 survey?
BIS Quarterly Review, December 2010
Michael R King and Dagfinn Rime
"Daily average foreign exchange market turnover reached $4 trillion in April 2010, 20% higher than in 2007. Growth owed largely to the increased trading activity of "other financial institutions", which contributed 85% of the higher turnover. Within this customer category, the growth is driven by high-frequency traders, banks trading as clients of the biggest dealers, and online trading by retail investors. Electronic trading has been instrumental to this increase, particularly algorithmic trading."
http://bit.ly/hwgVi5
Monday, December 20, 2010
Thursday, November 4, 2010
US and China lead choc market recovery, Barry Callebaut
"Recovery in the chocolate market is underway in the US, Brazil and China but Western Europe has been slow to rebound and Eastern Europe still shows negative growth rates, said Barry Callebaut as it released robust full year results for 2010."
Confectionery News
Jayne Byrne
http://bit.ly/9sJZpf
Confectionery News
Jayne Byrne
http://bit.ly/9sJZpf
Monday, November 1, 2010
Quantitative easing and commodity markets
London, 1 November 2010
"A warning by an International Energy Agency (IEA) analyst last week that quantitative easing (QE) risked inflating nominal commodity prices and derailing the recovery drew a withering response from Nobel Economics Laureate Paul Krugman..."John Kemp, Reuters market analyst
Commodities Now
http://bit.ly/aUBks6
Sunday, October 17, 2010
China and the future of Rare Earth Elements
Commodities Now
John Mauldin, Outside the Box & Thoughts From the Frontline London, 16 October 2010
A recent diplomatic spat between China and Japan has heightened territorial tensions and called attention to China's growing forcefulness with foreign powers. One of the more intriguing aspects of this development was China's suspension of the export of "rare earth" elements (REE) to Japan.
http://bit.ly/9aYGpP
John Mauldin, Outside the Box & Thoughts From the Frontline London, 16 October 2010
A recent diplomatic spat between China and Japan has heightened territorial tensions and called attention to China's growing forcefulness with foreign powers. One of the more intriguing aspects of this development was China's suspension of the export of "rare earth" elements (REE) to Japan.
http://bit.ly/9aYGpP
Monday, October 11, 2010
Alarm raised on Chinese interest rates
"China must immediately hike interest rates and appreciate its currency to combat asset bubbles and boost household consumption, a member of the Chinese central bank’s monetary policy committee has said. "
-Sid Verma-
Emerging Markets
http://bit.ly/beFs4Q
-Sid Verma-
Emerging Markets
http://bit.ly/beFs4Q
Thursday, September 30, 2010
SABIC, Ma'aden to produce 1m tons of phosphate next year
Arabian Business dot com
by Bloomberg
"Saudi Basic Industries Corp, the world’s largest petrochemicals maker, and partner Saudi Arabian Mining Co will produce about 1 million tons of phosphates next year at a joint venture plant that the partners are completing."
http://bit.ly/aL0smi
by Bloomberg
"Saudi Basic Industries Corp, the world’s largest petrochemicals maker, and partner Saudi Arabian Mining Co will produce about 1 million tons of phosphates next year at a joint venture plant that the partners are completing."
http://bit.ly/aL0smi
Tuesday, September 28, 2010
SMX to launch world’s first international Black Pepper Futures
"SMX has obtained approval from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to list SMPEPPER on its trading platform"
Commodities Now
http://bit.ly/9JLIQW
Commodities Now
http://bit.ly/9JLIQW
Monday, September 27, 2010
QE2 'myth' may hurt oil market
OIL&GAS Journal
Sam Fletche
Senior Writer
"A “general Wall Street myth” that a second round of “quantitative easing” of the economy (QE2) should prove bullish for oil through the lower dollar index may prove bearish instead. QE1 was the Federal Reserve Bank's unprecedented purchase of debt to prop up the housing market and credit facilities for big banks."
http://bit.ly/9L86iv
Sam Fletche
Senior Writer
"A “general Wall Street myth” that a second round of “quantitative easing” of the economy (QE2) should prove bullish for oil through the lower dollar index may prove bearish instead. QE1 was the Federal Reserve Bank's unprecedented purchase of debt to prop up the housing market and credit facilities for big banks."
http://bit.ly/9L86iv
Tuesday, September 14, 2010
Study: Tax moves could 'cripple' US industry
Oil & Gas Journal
OGJ Editors
HOUSTON, Sept. 14 -- Proposals by the Obama administration to kill two tax provisions important to oil and gas companies would do economic harm worth more than the revenue they would raise for the government, according to a study commissioned by the American Energy Alliance.
http://bit.ly/aqInSP
OGJ Editors
HOUSTON, Sept. 14 -- Proposals by the Obama administration to kill two tax provisions important to oil and gas companies would do economic harm worth more than the revenue they would raise for the government, according to a study commissioned by the American Energy Alliance.
http://bit.ly/aqInSP
Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Monday, August 23, 2010
LME confirms encouraging start to cobalt & moly trading
Commodities Now
"To date, 4,047 lots of cobalt have traded (equivalent to 4,047 tonnes / $161 million). Molybdenum trading has seen 321 lots traded (equivalent to 1,926 tonnes / $69 million)."
http://bit.ly/aUD9ir
"To date, 4,047 lots of cobalt have traded (equivalent to 4,047 tonnes / $161 million). Molybdenum trading has seen 321 lots traded (equivalent to 1,926 tonnes / $69 million)."
http://bit.ly/aUD9ir
Fear and hope in Potash town
The Australian
Business with The Wall Street Journal
Phred Dvorak From: The Wall Street Journal
http://bit.ly/czWVtZ
Business with The Wall Street Journal
Phred Dvorak From: The Wall Street Journal
http://bit.ly/czWVtZ
Friday, August 20, 2010
Russian box throughput rise
'The aggregated throughput of the National Container Company terminals in St Petersburg and Novorossiysk (FCT and NUTEP) in the first half of 2010 rose by 32% compared to the first half of 2009."
Port Strategy
http://bit.ly/9t9DSH
Port Strategy
http://bit.ly/9t9DSH
Thursday, August 19, 2010
Containers to have ‘banner year’
Port Strategy
http://bit.ly/bIepNS
"World containerised trade volumes are forecast to reach nearly 10.0% growth this year, with a slightly stronger recovery of 10.6% on the main East-West trade lanes before slowing, according to IHS Global Insight's World Trade Service."
http://bit.ly/bIepNS
"World containerised trade volumes are forecast to reach nearly 10.0% growth this year, with a slightly stronger recovery of 10.6% on the main East-West trade lanes before slowing, according to IHS Global Insight's World Trade Service."
Wednesday, August 11, 2010
Monday, August 9, 2010
Saturday, August 7, 2010
The Enduring Middle East Strategic Framework
Commodities Now
Analysis byYossef Bodansky for Oilprice.com who offer detailed analysis on Oil, alternative Energy, Commodities, Finance and Geopolitics. They also provide free Geopolitical intelligence to help investors gain a greater understanding of world events and the impact they have on certain regions and sectors. oil price.com
http://bit.ly/csMq9s
Analysis byYossef Bodansky for Oilprice.com who offer detailed analysis on Oil, alternative Energy, Commodities, Finance and Geopolitics. They also provide free Geopolitical intelligence to help investors gain a greater understanding of world events and the impact they have on certain regions and sectors. oil price.com
http://bit.ly/csMq9s
The Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks on Commodity Prices
ECB Working Papers Series
No.1232 August 2010
Alessio Anzuini,Marco J. Lombardi,Patrizio Pagano
http://bit.ly/cHLRWy
No.1232 August 2010
Alessio Anzuini,Marco J. Lombardi,Patrizio Pagano
http://bit.ly/cHLRWy
Friday, August 6, 2010
Forward metal prices may lead to false conclusions
Pratima Desai Reuters for Commodities Now
"Metal producers should steer clear of using forward prices to assess potential profitability of new projects or for budgeting purposes as this could lead to misleading conclusions. Instead they could look at long-term price forecasts or use consultants. However, there are times when a producer without in-house research or unable to pay consultants, has little choice. In this case results should carry a health warning. The debate has heated up again because industrial metal prices in recent weeks have rallied. "
http://bit.ly/cEjLCF
"Metal producers should steer clear of using forward prices to assess potential profitability of new projects or for budgeting purposes as this could lead to misleading conclusions. Instead they could look at long-term price forecasts or use consultants. However, there are times when a producer without in-house research or unable to pay consultants, has little choice. In this case results should carry a health warning. The debate has heated up again because industrial metal prices in recent weeks have rallied. "
http://bit.ly/cEjLCF
Wednesday, August 4, 2010
Thought about trading.
Once you have the "you" part taken care of the rest is pretty straight forward. Trading as a personal growth strategy.
Tuesday, August 3, 2010
2010 Mid-Year Stats, Rebound In Port Metro Vancouver
Marinelink.com
"Port Metro Vancouver has released the 2010 mid-year results of overall throughputs in the Cargo Statistics Report. The report shows that 2010 is building momentum, with an overall tonnage increase of 20 per cent totalling 58.4 million tonnes to date."
http://bit.ly/aRbnhQ
"Port Metro Vancouver has released the 2010 mid-year results of overall throughputs in the Cargo Statistics Report. The report shows that 2010 is building momentum, with an overall tonnage increase of 20 per cent totalling 58.4 million tonnes to date."
http://bit.ly/aRbnhQ
Hu Xiaolian: Exchange rate regime reform and monetary policy effectiveness
Article by Ms Hu Xiaolian, Deputy Governor of the People’s Bank of China, Beijing, 26 July 2010.-BIS
http://bit.ly/9QTcaN
http://bit.ly/9QTcaN
Friday, July 30, 2010
Cocoa players fear Armajaro grip on market may tighten
Commodities Now
Sarah McFarlane, Reuters for Commodities Now
"London cocoa players could make an expensive mistake if they believe the media furore surrounding Armajaro's grip on the market will deter another daring speculative play by the commodities house in the September contract."
http://bit.ly/9DkVOk
Sarah McFarlane, Reuters for Commodities Now
"London cocoa players could make an expensive mistake if they believe the media furore surrounding Armajaro's grip on the market will deter another daring speculative play by the commodities house in the September contract."
http://bit.ly/9DkVOk
ECB closes in on inferior collateral with new haircut scheme
Ramya Jaidev
Risk Magazine
"European Central Bank’s new discount schedule increases haircuts levied on troublesome collateral, such as asset-backed securities; analysts expect move to discourage pledging of risky assets"
http://bit.ly/9OMLM6
Risk Magazine
"European Central Bank’s new discount schedule increases haircuts levied on troublesome collateral, such as asset-backed securities; analysts expect move to discourage pledging of risky assets"
http://bit.ly/9OMLM6
Hu Xiaolian: Three characteristics of the managed floating exchange rate regime
BIS
Article by Ms Hu Xiaolian, Deputy Governor of the People’s Bank of China, Beijing,
22 July 2010.
"The content of the managed floating exchange rate regime includes three aspects. First, the
floating of exchange rate is based on market supply and demand so that the exchange rate
plays a role as a price signal. Second, the range of floating adjustment is based on trade and
current account balances to reflect the “managed floating” nature.
Third, the exchange rate is
determined with reference to a basket of currencies, rather than the bilateral exchange rate
between RMB and any single currency."
http://bit.ly/dBlA9P
Article by Ms Hu Xiaolian, Deputy Governor of the People’s Bank of China, Beijing,
22 July 2010.
"The content of the managed floating exchange rate regime includes three aspects. First, the
floating of exchange rate is based on market supply and demand so that the exchange rate
plays a role as a price signal. Second, the range of floating adjustment is based on trade and
current account balances to reflect the “managed floating” nature.
Third, the exchange rate is
determined with reference to a basket of currencies, rather than the bilateral exchange rate
between RMB and any single currency."
http://bit.ly/dBlA9P
Thursday, July 29, 2010
Chinese Yuan vs. the US demand
Ebeling Heffernan Live Trading News
"The conventional wisdom is that once the value of the Chinese Yuan is increased, the USA’s trade deficit with China would start falling. This reasoning has prompted many Americans to push for further, faster revaluation of the Yuan even after China changed its currency policy."
Paul A. Ebeling Jr.
More Ebeling Herrnan scroll down to feed.
http://bit.ly/akXYO3
"The conventional wisdom is that once the value of the Chinese Yuan is increased, the USA’s trade deficit with China would start falling. This reasoning has prompted many Americans to push for further, faster revaluation of the Yuan even after China changed its currency policy."
Paul A. Ebeling Jr.
More Ebeling Herrnan scroll down to feed.
http://bit.ly/akXYO3
Indian infrastructure talks take in concerns
"Discussions on infrastructure were the focus of a meeting between APMT and the Indian government officials as this issue in particular continues to be an area of concern for shippers and port operators alike."http://bit.ly/dBWmsv
Free trade under threat-The Moscow News
"In the latest example of threats to global free trade, Russia is threatening foreign handset makers with an import ban if they don’t use Russia’s Glonass navigation system."
http://bit.ly/9U6yDI
http://bit.ly/9U6yDI
Wednesday, July 28, 2010
BAML tinkers with tradable volatility index for tail risk hedging Risk.net
Claire Dickinson-Structured Products
Bank of America Merrill Lynch has developed a liquid volatility index for institutions which are seeking a systematic tail risk hedge.
http://bit.ly/d8pR3q
Bank of America Merrill Lynch has developed a liquid volatility index for institutions which are seeking a systematic tail risk hedge.
http://bit.ly/d8pR3q
Tuesday, July 27, 2010
LME – Record trading volumes for first half of 2010
Commodities Now
The London Metal Exchange ( LME), the world’s premier exchange for base metals, today issues an unaudited statement for trading volumes during the first six months of 2010. Total lots traded on the exchange rose 7.5% to 59,304,271 compared with the corresponding period last year while the average daily volume rose 8.1% to 478,260 lots.
http://bit.ly/da0qUj
The London Metal Exchange ( LME), the world’s premier exchange for base metals, today issues an unaudited statement for trading volumes during the first six months of 2010. Total lots traded on the exchange rose 7.5% to 59,304,271 compared with the corresponding period last year while the average daily volume rose 8.1% to 478,260 lots.
http://bit.ly/da0qUj
US extends Keystone comment period
Upstream Online
The US State Department has extended the amount of time federal agencies will have to comment on TransCanada's proposed Keystone XL pipeline, delaying the construction schedule.
http://bit.ly/acKfdl
The US State Department has extended the amount of time federal agencies will have to comment on TransCanada's proposed Keystone XL pipeline, delaying the construction schedule.
http://bit.ly/acKfdl
Greek, Bulgarian PMs to discuss South Stream's future in Sofia RIANOVOSTI
http://bit.ly/bmbTyd
"Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou will visit Bulgaria on Tuesday in a bid to persuade the Bulgarian authorities to give the green light for the construction of the South Stream pipeline designed to transport Russian gas to western Europe."
"Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou will visit Bulgaria on Tuesday in a bid to persuade the Bulgarian authorities to give the green light for the construction of the South Stream pipeline designed to transport Russian gas to western Europe."
Arabian Gulf tanker rates end losing streak
by Bloomberg on Tuesday, 27 July 2010
From Arabian Business . com
Extremely informative background material in story.
"The cost of delivering Middle East crude oil to Asia, the world’s busiest route for supertankers, rose for the first time in seven sessions as fewer vessels competed to haul cargoes."
http://bit.ly/dByYMk
From Arabian Business . com
Extremely informative background material in story.
"The cost of delivering Middle East crude oil to Asia, the world’s busiest route for supertankers, rose for the first time in seven sessions as fewer vessels competed to haul cargoes."
http://bit.ly/dByYMk
Monday, July 26, 2010
Indian giant moving on Australian ports, coalfields
Andrew Fraser-The Australian
AN Indian company is planning massive investments in Australia's coal industry.
http://bit.ly/9pmncy
AN Indian company is planning massive investments in Australia's coal industry.
http://bit.ly/9pmncy
Sada Reddy: Information exchange on microinsurance in Fiji BIS
Speech by Mr Sada Reddy, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Fiji, at the “Information
Exchange on Microinsurance” in Fiji, Suva, 15 July 2010.
Key Basel III decisions due as oversight board gathers Risk. Net
Risk Magazine
Joel Clark
"Governors and heads of supervision will review recommendations brought forward from July 14-15 Basel Committee meeting"
http://bit.ly/akkjYD
Joel Clark
"Governors and heads of supervision will review recommendations brought forward from July 14-15 Basel Committee meeting"
http://bit.ly/akkjYD
UK: Cameron leads delegation to court India
Ebeling Heffernan Live Trading News-Paul A Ebeling Jr.
http://bit.ly/absxzD
http://bit.ly/absxzD
AMEC reignites mining tax debate Upstreamonline
Upstream Staff
"Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard has come under fire again from the resource industry over her government’s proposed controversial mining tax."
http://bit.ly/cC4omI
"Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard has come under fire again from the resource industry over her government’s proposed controversial mining tax."
http://bit.ly/cC4omI
China pilot carbon trading scheme to boost global trade
Risk.Net
Katie Holliday
"China’s proposed carbon trading scheme, to be implemented from 2011 to 2015, will be a positive driver for the international carbon markets, say analysts"
http://bit.ly/cBQomQ
Katie Holliday
"China’s proposed carbon trading scheme, to be implemented from 2011 to 2015, will be a positive driver for the international carbon markets, say analysts"
http://bit.ly/cBQomQ
China, Iran Negotiating To Use Chinese Yuan In Oil Contracts
Oil&GasEurasia
China and Iran are conducting negotiations to use the Chinese Yuan in settling oil contracts to thwart sanctions being imposed by the West, Iran News has reported.
Should the two countries reach an agreement, Iran would open a banking office in China in order to withdraw money for oil supplied and also to purchase fuel and equipment in china and to finance various projects.
Bloomberg reports that CNPC first brought up the idea three months ago.
Copyright 2010, Oil and Gas Information Agency. All rights reserved.
China and Iran are conducting negotiations to use the Chinese Yuan in settling oil contracts to thwart sanctions being imposed by the West, Iran News has reported.
Should the two countries reach an agreement, Iran would open a banking office in China in order to withdraw money for oil supplied and also to purchase fuel and equipment in china and to finance various projects.
Bloomberg reports that CNPC first brought up the idea three months ago.
Copyright 2010, Oil and Gas Information Agency. All rights reserved.
Sunday, July 25, 2010
Canadians View China, Brazil Investments
Ebeling Heffernan Live Trading News-Paul A. Ebeling Jr.
"Canadians regard China and Brazil as the greatest investment opportunities in the next decade, a new survey says. 61% of the 1,002 Canadians surveyed said emerging international markets such as Brazil and China present the best investment opportunities over the next 10 yrs"
http://bit.ly/cJESuV
"Canadians regard China and Brazil as the greatest investment opportunities in the next decade, a new survey says. 61% of the 1,002 Canadians surveyed said emerging international markets such as Brazil and China present the best investment opportunities over the next 10 yrs"
http://bit.ly/cJESuV
EMERGING MARKETS TO HOARD PRIVATE EQUITY
Eberling Heffernan Live Trading News--Paul A. Ebeling, Jnr
"The Sun is shining on the hammered private equity industry since the onset of the financial crisis, emerging markets are the warming rays."
http://bit.ly/9TQA7A
"The Sun is shining on the hammered private equity industry since the onset of the financial crisis, emerging markets are the warming rays."
http://bit.ly/9TQA7A
Fraud allegation turns up heat in Lago Agrio case Oil&Gas Journal
By Bob Tippee
Chevron Corp. has raised stakes in the legal battle it calls a "runaway farce" over environmental damage in Ecuador.
http://bit.ly/c5QgPV
Chevron Corp. has raised stakes in the legal battle it calls a "runaway farce" over environmental damage in Ecuador.
http://bit.ly/c5QgPV
NCGA: Alternative Worlds Make It Real-The Pork Network
'Most people like a good ‘whodunit’, and apparently so does Stanford University researcher David Lobell. If you follow environmental news, greenhouse gas alleviation seems to cause more consternation than revelation. However, a new study co-authored by Dr. Lobell and published in last month’s Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences seems to be uncovering some much needed clues on the subject."
http://bit.ly/bNzZ1m
http://bit.ly/bNzZ1m
Saturday, July 24, 2010
ECB insists stress tests are credible
Claire Jones Risk Magazine-Banking
ECB denies claims stress test scenarios were not severe enough
http://bit.ly/cRVHIZ
ECB denies claims stress test scenarios were not severe enough
http://bit.ly/cRVHIZ
HSBC enters energy derivatives market-Risk.Net
Author Katie Holliday
HSBC and Total Oil Trading expect to offer their first products in a few months' time
http://bit.ly/b7o95l
HSBC and Total Oil Trading expect to offer their first products in a few months' time
http://bit.ly/b7o95l
Wuhan Iron & Steel snaps up Venezuelan ore
"Wuhan Iron & Steel Group, China's third-biggest steelmaker, will buy iron ore from Venezuela at a long-term contract price this year, paving the way for a "China Price" separate from what the big three global miners are charging."-China Mining .Org
http://bit.ly/dj3CKj
http://bit.ly/dj3CKj
Friday, July 23, 2010
Questions & Answers 2010 EU-wide stress testing exercise
"Q1: What does it mean to stress test a bank?..."
Europa Press Release Reference: MEMO/10/355 Date: 23/07/2010
http://bit.ly/aMJylm
Europa Press Release Reference: MEMO/10/355 Date: 23/07/2010
http://bit.ly/aMJylm
Financial Amplification of Foreign Exchange Risk Premia
Tobias Adrian, Erkko Etula, and Jan J.J. Groen Federal Reserve Bank of New York
http://bit.ly/aL0ubH
http://bit.ly/aL0ubH
Contango and the real cost of carry
By John Kemp, Reuters market analyst-Commodities Now
"For the last two years, the contango structure embedded in futures prices has far exceeded the actual cost of owning physical raw materials such as crude oil, aluminium and copper, explaining the strong interest from traders and hedge funds in owning inventories or the warehouses, elevators and tank farms that store them."
http://bit.ly/cLhjXT
"For the last two years, the contango structure embedded in futures prices has far exceeded the actual cost of owning physical raw materials such as crude oil, aluminium and copper, explaining the strong interest from traders and hedge funds in owning inventories or the warehouses, elevators and tank farms that store them."
http://bit.ly/cLhjXT
A wonderful collection of thought
Reserve Bank of Australia 50th Anniversary Symposium
9 February 2010
"2010 marks the 50th Anniversary of the Reserve Bank of Australia. As part of our celebrations, a high-level Symposium was held in Sydney on Tuesday, 9 February 2010."
http://bit.ly/dh2wf7
9 February 2010
"2010 marks the 50th Anniversary of the Reserve Bank of Australia. As part of our celebrations, a high-level Symposium was held in Sydney on Tuesday, 9 February 2010."
http://bit.ly/dh2wf7
Auto makers,banks,Russia
July 22, 2010
Captivating Borrowers
By Tai Adelaja
Russia Profile
"As Russia Recovers from the Global Financial Downturn, Foreign Auto Loan Banks Lure in General Bank Customers With Lower Interest Rates "-more
http://bit.ly/daofVv
Captivating Borrowers
By Tai Adelaja
Russia Profile
"As Russia Recovers from the Global Financial Downturn, Foreign Auto Loan Banks Lure in General Bank Customers With Lower Interest Rates "-more
http://bit.ly/daofVv
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Natural Gas Prices Up At All Locations-The Pork Network
"Natural gas prices increased across all market locations, as high temperatures continued to envelop most of the lower 48 States. Price increases likely resulted from warmer-than-normal weather across most of the country. While temperatures were warmer than normal in most of the lower 48 States, the southeast was especially hot, with temperatures averaging above 80 degrees through most of the region. On Wednesday, July 21, the natural gas spot price at the Henry Hub averaged $4.70 per MMBtu. Natural gas consumption for power generation increased 10 percent on the week and 24 percent compared with year-ago levels, according to estimates from BENTEK Energy Services, LLC. Prices generally remained highest in the northeastern United States, where average temperatures were in the 70s and 80s. The price yesterday for delivery into New York City, at Zone 6 off Transcontinental Gas Pipeline was $5.21 per MMBtu, an increase of 29 cents or 6 percent on the week".-more http://bit.ly/aRMNA7
Eastern Quebec oil discovery to be developed
Haldimand, a shallow discovery judged to have at least 7.7 million bbl of recoverable 53° gravity oil on Quebec’s eastern Gaspe Peninsula, is to be developed.
http://bit.ly/9hGMZm
http://bit.ly/9hGMZm
The Seeds of a Crisis:
A Theory of Bank Liquidity and Risk‐taking over the Business Cycle by Viral Acharya and Hassan Naqvi
Discussant:
Charles Leung,
City Univ. of Hong Kong
http://bit.ly/cjcDOQ
Discussant:
Charles Leung,
City Univ. of Hong Kong
http://bit.ly/cjcDOQ
Large cocoa purchase to have negligible impact on choc industry, ICCO
Confectionery news .com
"The reported purchase of 240,100 tonnes of cocoa on the London futures market by a sole trader will not impact hugely on supply to industry, as cocoa processors have already shored up bean stocks for the next four months, claims the International Cocoa Organisation (ICCO)."
http://bit.ly/bajLyv
"The reported purchase of 240,100 tonnes of cocoa on the London futures market by a sole trader will not impact hugely on supply to industry, as cocoa processors have already shored up bean stocks for the next four months, claims the International Cocoa Organisation (ICCO)."
http://bit.ly/bajLyv
Aluminium U.S. Canada from Steel Guru
"Aluminum shipment growth rate accelerates in US and Canada
US service center aluminum shipments jumped 37.7% above those of June 2009 to 123,500 tonnes, bringing 2010 H1 shipments to 615,800 tonnes, 17.4% more than last year. Month end aluminum inventories of 311,000 tonnes were 15.3% greater than a year ago and at current shipping rates, equal to 2.5 month supply.
In Canada, metals service centers shipped 12,600 tonnes of aluminum products, a rise of 12.2% from the same month last year. H1 aluminum shipments of 68,600 tonnes are 5.3% above those of the 2009 half. Inventories at the end of June totaled 30,600 tonnes, 3.3% below year ago inventories and equal to 2.4 month supply at current shipping rates.
The Metals Activity Report, based on data from metals service centers in the United States and Canada is produced by the Metals Service Center Institute and a third-party econometrics and strategy firm, McCoy, Scott & Company."
Platts: U.S. Distillate Output Jumps to 18-Month High Oil&Gas Eurasia
"U.S. stocks of middle distillates climbed 3.935 million barrels for the week ending July 16 as refiners pushed output to an 18-month high while demand tapered off, an analysis of oil data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed Wednesday. This analysis and commentary is provided by Linda Rafield, Platts senior oil analyst and editor of the weekly Platts Futures and Derivatives Review, a supplement to Platts Oilgram Price Report."
http://bit.ly/bOdUKq
http://bit.ly/bOdUKq
Has Liffe already intervened in cocoa market? Commodities Now
" NYSE Liffe may have already intervened, at least informally, in the cocoa market this month to ensure smooth expiry of the July 2010 contract, if recent trading activity and price movements are anything to go by."
http://bit.ly/bb7MVI
http://bit.ly/bb7MVI
Cocoa rumpus raises chance of commodities crackdown Commodities Now
"Accusations of excessive speculation in London's cocoa market have come at the worst possible time for theNYSE Liffe exchange, and could lead to the introduction of tougher rules, lawyers and analysts said. London's commodity markets are under pressure to tighten regulation as the United States pushes forward with plans to tame speculative activity that was blamed by some for pushing food and energy prices to record highs in 2008"
http://bit.ly/9xazue
http://bit.ly/9xazue
Montreal lockout disrupts Canadian shipments
"Negotiations to end a four-day lockout at Canada’s Port of Montreal start today, under the supervision of government-appointed mediators."
Port Strategy
http://bit.ly/csRyw4
Port Strategy
http://bit.ly/csRyw4
DJ Liffe Says, “No Evidence Of Abuse In July Cocoa Contract.”
Eberling Heffernan
Live Trading News
"The July contract tapped 33 yr highs
NYSE Euronext’s (NYX) NYSE Liffe said it saw no abusive behavior in the July cocoa futures contract that expired last Friday and resulted in a massive draw down of nearly all of Liffe’s cocoa stocks."
http://bit.ly/cWK8zF
Live Trading News
"The July contract tapped 33 yr highs
NYSE Euronext’s (NYX) NYSE Liffe said it saw no abusive behavior in the July cocoa futures contract that expired last Friday and resulted in a massive draw down of nearly all of Liffe’s cocoa stocks."
http://bit.ly/cWK8zF
Legal experts identify end-user issues under new US act
Risk.Net
Pauline McCallion
As US regulators embark on redefining over-the-counter derivatives trading, energy end-users need to be aware of how they will be categorised and the potential impact on trading costs.
http://bit.ly/dB6KlL
Pauline McCallion
As US regulators embark on redefining over-the-counter derivatives trading, energy end-users need to be aware of how they will be categorised and the potential impact on trading costs.
http://bit.ly/dB6KlL
The Information Value of the Stress Test and Bank Opacity
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Authors: Donald P. Morgan ,Stavros Peristiani,Vanessa Savino
http://bit.ly/cAghs8
Authors: Donald P. Morgan ,Stavros Peristiani,Vanessa Savino
http://bit.ly/cAghs8
Delek: No Plans to Acquire Montreal Refinery
by DownstreamToday Staff
July 20, 2010
"Delek US Holdings, Inc. announced Tuesday that it is no longer exploring the possible purchase of Shell Canada's Montreal Refinery"
http://bit.ly/askGIN
July 20, 2010
"Delek US Holdings, Inc. announced Tuesday that it is no longer exploring the possible purchase of Shell Canada's Montreal Refinery"
http://bit.ly/askGIN
Wednesday, July 21, 2010
Lending Coal a Hand-Commodities Now
Houston, 21 July 2010
"When the World Bank approved a $3.75 billion loan to build a highly efficient coal plant in South Africa, it provoked outrage among many in the developed world who responded that those resources should go to cleaner energy forms. Supporters have said, however, that the facility is needed to bring electric power to the underserved"
http://bit.ly/boARHI
http://bit.ly/boARHI
The international financial crisis and policy challenges in Asia and the Pacific
BIS for more Bank for International Settlements scroll down
BIS Papers No 52
July 2010
This volume is a collection of the speeches, presentations and papers from a conference on "The international financial crisis and policy challenges in Asia and the Pacific".
http://bit.ly/dhU25k
BIS Papers No 52
July 2010
This volume is a collection of the speeches, presentations and papers from a conference on "The international financial crisis and policy challenges in Asia and the Pacific".
http://bit.ly/dhU25k
BP’s oil spill to tighten global oil supply - report
Energy Risk Lianna Brinded
BP’s Gulf of Mexico oil spill will tighten global oil supply as US oil production is set to wane, following expectations the disaster will lead to stricter regulation and closer scrutiny of drilling operations in the US, say Barclays Capital
http://bit.ly/cIczSl
BP’s Gulf of Mexico oil spill will tighten global oil supply as US oil production is set to wane, following expectations the disaster will lead to stricter regulation and closer scrutiny of drilling operations in the US, say Barclays Capital
http://bit.ly/cIczSl
DP World to share box information-Port Strategy
DP World’s terminal operations are to start sending data on containers to an external IT platform called SICIS (Shared Intermodal Container Information System), following successful pilot demonstrations.
http://bit.ly/cXMTpZ
http://bit.ly/cXMTpZ
31% of oil and gas firms lack ETRM solutions
RISK.Net-Lianna Binded
Nearly one third of all oil and gas companies are more susceptible to systemic risk, as a report reveals 31% of these firms lack an energy trading and risk management (ETRM) solution for their operations
http://bit.ly/c6k9EE
Nearly one third of all oil and gas companies are more susceptible to systemic risk, as a report reveals 31% of these firms lack an energy trading and risk management (ETRM) solution for their operations
http://bit.ly/c6k9EE
Kazakhstan Ready To Support Nabucco With Gas OIL & GAS EURASIA
Kazakhstan President Nursultan Nazarbayev knows a thing or two about changing things to his country's advantage. The latest evidence of this came last Sunday when he told German Chancellor Angela Merkel Kazakhstan was ready to supply its gas to Germany through the Nabbucco pipeline. Experts believe Kazakhstan could redirect some of its Caspian gas away from Russia to other destinations, including those not in the West.
http://bit.ly/bCjyy6
http://bit.ly/bCjyy6
Bank of England Minutes
Bank of England Minutes from July available at feed scroll down other BofE postings also.
Outstanding article
Chinese buyers learn to dig, scoop global mining assets
"......That is bringing more would-be Chinese dealmakers to Toronto and Vancouver, where much of the world's capital-raising for mining exploration takes place."
Phred Dvorak From: The Wall Street Journal
http://bit.ly/ajgUiO
"......That is bringing more would-be Chinese dealmakers to Toronto and Vancouver, where much of the world's capital-raising for mining exploration takes place."
Phred Dvorak From: The Wall Street Journal
http://bit.ly/ajgUiO
Amazing vessel
"Qatargas' state-of-the art Q-Max LNG carriers are capable of delivering 266,000 cubic meters of LNG during a single voyage. They are the biggest LNG carriers in the world. The company's fleet of Q-Flex and Q-Max carriers represents a step-change in LNG shipping technology. Not only are they 50 to 80 percent larger than conventional LNG carriers, they also contain an on-board reliquefaction system. In addition to this, key environmental objectives have been taken into consideration in the build. With approximately 40 percent lower carbon emissions than conventional carriers, they offer a safe, efficient and reliable means of delivering LNG around the world"
Qatargas Delivers First Q-Max Cargo to Japan by Qatargas Operating Co. Ltd.
Downstream Today
http://bit.ly/cblXRL
Qatargas Delivers First Q-Max Cargo to Japan by Qatargas Operating Co. Ltd.
Downstream Today
http://bit.ly/cblXRL
Saudi's Tuwairqi Steel to start production by Q4
While some countries become self absorbed some countries are getting to work.
"Saudi owned Tuwairqi Steel Mills Limited (TSML) aims to start production by the beginning of the fourth quarter and grow to eventually become Pakistan's largest steel producer, a TSML executive said on Tuesday."by Amena Bakr on Wednesday, 21 July 2010 Arabian Business
http://bit.ly/bAe0Az
"Saudi owned Tuwairqi Steel Mills Limited (TSML) aims to start production by the beginning of the fourth quarter and grow to eventually become Pakistan's largest steel producer, a TSML executive said on Tuesday."by Amena Bakr on Wednesday, 21 July 2010 Arabian Business
http://bit.ly/bAe0Az
UAE's RAKIA plans IPO of Georgia port in 2011
The UAE emirate of Ras Al Khaimah's sovereign wealth fund plans an initial public offering for its port of Poti project in Georgia for 2011, its chief executive officer said on Tuesday.-by Erika Solomon Arabian Buisness .com see feeds below
http://bit.ly/bo3ACD
http://bit.ly/bo3ACD
Medvedev, Halonen to talk economy, energy, adoptions
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev will hold talks with his Finnish counterpart Tarja Halonen on Wednesday. RIANOVOSTI
http://bit.ly/9YOAda
http://bit.ly/9YOAda
Apache snags BP assets in US, Canada, Egypt for $7 billion
Jul 20, 2010
Eric Watkins
OGJ Oil Diplomacy Editor
BP PLC said it has entered into several agreements to sell Apache Corp. some of its upstream assets valued at $7 billion. Among the assets are BP’s Permian basin assets in Texas and New Mexico; its western Canadian upstream gas assets; and the Western Desert business concessions and East Badr El-din exploration concession in Egypt.
http://bit.ly/cFzU4b
Eric Watkins
OGJ Oil Diplomacy Editor
BP PLC said it has entered into several agreements to sell Apache Corp. some of its upstream assets valued at $7 billion. Among the assets are BP’s Permian basin assets in Texas and New Mexico; its western Canadian upstream gas assets; and the Western Desert business concessions and East Badr El-din exploration concession in Egypt.
http://bit.ly/cFzU4b
Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Shopping Tip
Before making an impulse buy, people should visualize how the item will display at a garage sale.
Aon Benfield launches first pan-Asian typhoon model for cat risk
http://bit.ly/b6QwaZ
Two companies offer new insurance products covering typhoon catastrophe risk in Asia
Two companies offer new insurance products covering typhoon catastrophe risk in Asia
Author: Kathy Wang
A CAUTIOUS NOTE ON THE DESIGN OF VOLATILITY DERIVATIVES
Abstract
This cautious note aims to point at the potential risks for the financial system caused by various increasingly popular volatility derivatives including variance swaps on futures of equity indices. It investigates the pricing of variance swaps under the 3/2 volatility model. Carr with Itkin and Sun have discussed the pricing of variance swaps under this type of model. This paper studies a special case of this model and observes an explosion of prices for squared volatility and variance swaps. It argues that such a price explosion may have deeper economic reasons, which should be taken into account when designing volatility derivatives. http://bit.ly/cLJ9DB
China vents ire over IEA claim
http://bit.ly/bQOGua
China today disputed that it passed the US last year to become the world's largest energy user, and defended its efforts in boosting cleaner energy sources.
China today disputed that it passed the US last year to become the world's largest energy user, and defended its efforts in boosting cleaner energy sources.
China unveils major oil and gas plan
China’s seemingly insatiable appetite for energy production and consumption reaches new levels as the country unveils plans to increase oil and gas production by a third by 2020
Author: Lianna Brinded
Source: Energy Risk
20 Jul 2010
http://bit.ly/9yJNp1
Author: Lianna Brinded
Source: Energy Risk
20 Jul 2010
http://bit.ly/9yJNp1
Box flow study for Sydney
20 Jul 2010
Sydney Ports Corporation is commissioning a study to find out the origin and destination of the container flows coming into and out of the port.-Port Strategy http://bit.ly/9FWJn5
Sydney Ports Corporation is commissioning a study to find out the origin and destination of the container flows coming into and out of the port.-Port Strategy http://bit.ly/9FWJn5
Climate Change Risk Management: Legal Liabilities
by Kai Alderson, Fasken Martineau, & Stephen Higgs Perkins CoieJuly 19, 2010-Downstream Today http://bit.ly/a22DeS
India not worried about hefty current account deficit
http://bit.ly/9yYsHK
Tuesday, July 20, 2010
NEW DELHI: India’s $13 billion current account deficit is manageable and will be covered by capital inflows, Trade Secretary Rahul Khullar said on Monday, playing down concerns about the worst shortfall in nearly 3 decades.
NEW DELHI: India’s $13 billion current account deficit is manageable and will be covered by capital inflows, Trade Secretary Rahul Khullar said on Monday, playing down concerns about the worst shortfall in nearly 3 decades.
Cotton spot rate falls
http://bit.ly/9ujhrX KARACHI: Spot rate of average-quality lint fell for the fourth consecutive day on Monday as speculation about the extension of duty on yarn exports stoked panic among ginners and growers, dealers said-The International News
Monday, July 19, 2010
CBOE to launch tail event index
http://bit.ly/9CCUrw
The Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) will launch a new index designed to allow investors to take positions on market expectations of extreme losses.
The Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) will launch a new index designed to allow investors to take positions on market expectations of extreme losses.
Bank of England
Working Paper No. 394
How do individual UK producer prices behave?
Philip Bunn(1) and Colin Ellis(2)
Abstract
This paper examines the behaviour of individual producer prices in the United Kingdom, and uncovers a
number of stylised facts about pricing behaviour. First, on average 26% of producer prices change each
month, although there is considerable heterogeneity between sectors and price changes occur less
frequently when measured by the average for individual products. Second, the probability of price
changes is not constant over time: prices are most likely to change one, four and twelve months after
they were previously set. Third, the distribution of price changes is wide, although a significant number
of changes are relatively small and close to zero. Fourth, prices that change more frequently tend to do
so by less. And fifth, price changes are much less persistent at the disaggregated level than aggregate
inflation data imply. We find that conventional pricing theories struggle to match these results,
particularly the marked heterogeneity.
For complete paper&more Bank of England publications scroll down to feed
How do individual UK producer prices behave?
Philip Bunn(1) and Colin Ellis(2)
Abstract
This paper examines the behaviour of individual producer prices in the United Kingdom, and uncovers a
number of stylised facts about pricing behaviour. First, on average 26% of producer prices change each
month, although there is considerable heterogeneity between sectors and price changes occur less
frequently when measured by the average for individual products. Second, the probability of price
changes is not constant over time: prices are most likely to change one, four and twelve months after
they were previously set. Third, the distribution of price changes is wide, although a significant number
of changes are relatively small and close to zero. Fourth, prices that change more frequently tend to do
so by less. And fifth, price changes are much less persistent at the disaggregated level than aggregate
inflation data imply. We find that conventional pricing theories struggle to match these results,
particularly the marked heterogeneity.
For complete paper&more Bank of England publications scroll down to feed
Drilling ban may help oil sands
"The future of oil sands is here: they are cost effective, and their face is green."
Oil&Gas Journal-Sam Fletcher
http://bit.ly/9K8t6a
Oil&Gas Journal-Sam Fletcher
http://bit.ly/9K8t6a
Cocoa bean grind up in US and Europe
"Cocoa grinding data is an indicator of demand from industry, with the product being used by manufacturers to create as cocoa ‘semi-finished’ products: Cocoa butter, cocoa powder and cocoa liquor." Confectionery News By Jane Byrne , 16-Jul-2010
http://bit.ly/aZF1sq
http://bit.ly/aZF1sq
FOMC faces tricky task in avoiding another bubble
FOMC faces tricky task in avoiding another bubble
Author: Central Banking Newsdesk
Source: Risk magazine
19 Jul 2010
http://bit.ly/aIzsiZ
Author: Central Banking Newsdesk
Source: Risk magazine
19 Jul 2010
http://bit.ly/aIzsiZ
Cocoa king Anthony Ward is hungry for African food production
Anthony "Chocfinger" Ward, the commodities trader whose group Armajaro Holdings has just cornered the cocoa market, is planning his next move into food.-Tele.http://bit.ly/ag cKo8
Sensex opens lower by 100 points on profit booking
"The Bombay Stock Exchange benchmark Sensex today opened nearly 100 points lower on selling by funds and retail investors amid weak Asian markets." The Hindu more from The Hindu scroll down
http://bit.ly/b9zrUm
http://bit.ly/b9zrUm
ARE YOU WATCHING THE VIX?
1.VIX: 26.25; +1.11
2. VXN: 26.87; +0.3
3. VXO: 26.49; +1.65
4. Put/Call Ratio (CBOE): 1.1; +0.22
Monday Market Monitor - Iron Ore - WEEK 28 - On down path
The Indian iron ore spot prices continued on downhill track last week absolutely in tandem with the steel market movements in China, where steel mills have taken a rearguard action to curtail production and costs to survive the ordeal. -Steel Guru
http://bit.ly/dl5xrP
http://bit.ly/dl5xrP
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)